── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Felix Auger Aliassime
39%61%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
CAN
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard6–3
Clay1–0
Grass0–1
── 11 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardR64Felix Auger Aliassime6-3 7-5
2025-02-24DubaiHardFStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-3
2023-10-30Paris MastersHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6(4)
2022-02-07RotterdamHardFFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-2
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardQFStefanos Tsitsipas6-2 5-7 6-1
2021-04-19BarcelonaClayQFStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-3
2021-03-15AcapulcoHardQFStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 4-6 6-3
2020-02-17MarseilleHardFStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas7-6(3) 7-6(3)
2019-06-17Queen's ClubGrassQFFelix Auger Aliassime7-5 6-2
2019-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-2