── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex De Minaur 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Alex De Minaur
28%72%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#45
model rank
#8
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Stefanos TsitsipasAlex De Minaur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard101
Clay40
Grass01
── 16 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6(3)
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-1 6-2
2024-02-26AcapulcoHardQFAlex De Minaur1-6 6-3 6-3
2023-07-31Los CabosHardFStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaClayQFStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2
2022-03-21Miami MastersHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-3
2022-02-07RotterdamHardQFStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-7(3) 7-6(3) 6-2
2021-04-19BarcelonaClayR16Stefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-3
2021-02-02Atp CupHardRRStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-5
2019-10-28Paris MastersHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsHardFStefanos Tsitsipas2-4 4-1 4-3(3) 4-3(3)
2018-10-01TokyoHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 5-7 6-1
2017-08-07Portoroz CHHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-2 6-3
2017-06-05Surbiton CHGrassQ1Alex De Minaur7-6(5) 6-1
2017-05-01IstanbulClayQ1Stefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-2