── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Alex De Minaur
28%72%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#8
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard10–1
Clay4–0
Grass0–1
── 16 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-02-26 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Alex De Minaur | 1-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023-07-31 | Los Cabos | Hard | F | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-02-07 | Rotterdam | Hard | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-10-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-7(3) 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2021-04-19 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2021-02-02 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2019-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-11-05 | NextGen Finals | Hard | F | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2-4 4-1 4-3(3) 4-3(3) |
| 2018-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 5-7 6-1 |
| 2017-08-07 | Portoroz CH | Hard | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2017-06-05 | Surbiton CH | Grass | Q1 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2017-05-01 | Istanbul | Clay | Q1 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-2 |

