── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Sebastian Korda
34%66%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 28% / 72%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#45
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
USA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Stefanos TsitsipasSebastian Korda
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-14BarcelonaClayR16Stefanos Tsitsipas7-6(4) 6-4
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR32Sebastian Korda7-6(4) 6-3
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas7-6(5) 6-3