── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Aleksandar Kovacevic
77%23%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Aleksandar Kovacevic
61th · average
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#123
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
USA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Aleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-27Winston-SalemHardR16Aleksandar Kovacevic6-3 7-6(1)
2024-02-19Los CabosHardQFStefanos Tsitsipas7-6(1) 6-3