── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Lorenzo Musetti
32%68%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay4–2
Hard1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 1-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 5-7 6-3 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5-7 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-05-17 | Lyon | Clay | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4-6 6-3 6-0 |
| 2021-03-15 | Acapulco | Hard | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-1 6-3 |