── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Alexander Shevchenko
79%21%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#137
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
KAZ
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-18GstaadClaySFStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 3-6 6-3
2024-12-27United CupHardRRAlexander Shevchenko6-4 7-6(0)