── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Tomas Machac
45%55%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#35
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
CZE
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Tomas Machac | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Tomas Machac | 6-4 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5) |
| 2023-10-23 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 4-6 7-5 |

