── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Machac a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Tomas Machac
45%55%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 53% / 47%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Tomas Machac
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#45
model rank
#35
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
CZE
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Stefanos TsitsipasTomas Machac
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Tomas Machac6-4 7-6(4)
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Tomas Machac6-4 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5)
2023-10-23ViennaHardR16Stefanos Tsitsipas6-3 4-6 7-5