── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shintaro Mochizuki
84%16%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#45
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
JPN
193cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4-6 6-3 6-2 6-2 |
| 2026-01-05 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-4 |