── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
64%36%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
94th · elite
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#45
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
FRA
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Stefanos TsitsipasGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-17GenevaClayR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-4 7-6(8)