── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Fery
59%41%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Arthur Fery
33th · below avg
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Arthur Fery
79th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#45
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
GBR
193cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Arthur Fery
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Stefanos Tsitsipas6-1 7-6(4)