── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ignacio Buse
62%38%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#58
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
PER
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-14GstaadClayR32Stefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-4
2026-06-23MallorcaGrassR32Ignacio Buse7-6(4) 6-3