── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Raphael Collignon
61%39%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Raphael Collignon
49th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#54
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GRE
country
BEL
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-19GstaadClayFStefanos Tsitsipas6-4 6-7(3) 6-3