── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ben Shelton
30%70%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Return
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Ben Shelton
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GRE
country
USA
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefanos Tsitsipas■ Ben Shelton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-06US OpenHardR16Ben Shelton6-2 6-3 6-4
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersHardR32Stefanos Tsitsipas7-6(3) 7-6(2)