── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Aleksandar Vukic
Alexander Bublik
15%85%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#152
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
KAZ
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Aleksandar Vukic■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Grass1–0
Clay0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Hangzhou | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Phoenix CH | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2024-06-24 | Eastbourne | Grass | R16 | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-05-20 | Lyon | Clay | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | R32 | Aleksandar Vukic | 7-6(5) 6-2 |