── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Aleksandar Vukic
Tommy Paul
16%84%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#145
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Aleksandar Vukic■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | QF | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-04-29 | Savannah CH | Clay | QF | Aleksandar Vukic | W/O |