── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Aleksandar Vukic
Frances Tiafoe
18%82%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#152
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Aleksandar Vukic■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-10-14 | Almaty | Hard | QF | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-2 7-6(11) |
| 2020-02-03 | Dallas CH | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 |