── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Aleksandar Vukic
Casper Ruud
11%89%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 4% / 96%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Casper Ruud
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#152
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
NOR
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Aleksandar VukicCasper Ruud
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardQFCasper Ruud6-3 6-2
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR64Aleksandar Vukic6-4 6-4