── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Aleksandar Vukic
Sebastian Korda
13%87%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#152
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Aleksandar VukicSebastian Korda
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay02
Hard21
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR64Sebastian Korda6-3 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR64Aleksandar Vukic6-4 3-6 2-6 6-3 7-5
2023-08-07Canada MastersHardR32Aleksandar Vukic6-3 4-6 7-6(5)
2019-07-15Nur-Sultan CHHardSFSebastian Korda7-6(3) 6-3
2019-04-15Sarasota CHClayR16Sebastian Korda6-4 2-6 6-4