── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Aleksandar Vukic a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Aleksandar Vukic
Jacob Fearnley
52%48%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#152
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
GBR
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Aleksandar VukicJacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardQ2Aleksandar Vukic6-4 6-7(7) 6-3