── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Aleksandar Vukic 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Aleksandar Vukic
Luca Nardi
60%40%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#145
model rank
#175
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Aleksandar Vukic■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardQ1Aleksandar Vukic6-7(4) 6-3 6-2