── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luca Nardi a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Aleksandar Vukic
Luca Nardi
46%54%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#152
model rank
#144
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Aleksandar Vukic■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | Q1 | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 |