── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Aleksandar Vukic
Raphael Collignon
15%85%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Return
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#152
model rank
#23
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
BEL
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Aleksandar VukicRaphael Collignon
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
Hard01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Raphael Collignon6-3 6-3 7-6(4)
2025-09-13Davis Cup QLS R2: AUS vs BELHardRRRaphael Collignon6-7(5) 6-2 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayQ1Aleksandar Vukic6-4 4-6 6-4