── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Altmaier 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Altmaier
Fabio Fognini
63%37%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#103
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Altmaier■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | R32 | Daniel Altmaier | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | Q2 | Fabio Fognini | 6-3 4-6 6-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | Hard | R32 | Fabio Fognini | 6-3 7-5 |