── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Marin Cilic 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Altmaier
Marin Cilic
43%57%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 5% / 95%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Marin Cilic
47th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#103
model rank
#70
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CRO
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniel AltmaierMarin Cilic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13MunichClayR32Daniel Altmaier6-2 6-3
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Marin Cilic6-0 6-0 7-6(3)