── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Altmaier
Daniil Medvedev
16%84%
Hard: 8% / 92%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Altmaier
34th · below avg
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Daniel Altmaier
32th · below avg
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#109
model rank
#8
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
RUS
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Altmaier■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Carpet0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Halle | Grass | QF | Daniel Altmaier | 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2016-02-15 | Switzerland F2 | Carpet | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 2-6 6-4 |