── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Altmaier 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Altmaier
Nicolas Jarry
56%44%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#103
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CHI
188cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniel AltmaierNicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR128Nicolas Jarry6-3 6-2
2021-08-16Luedenscheid CHClayFDaniel Altmaier7-6(1) 4-6 6-3