── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Altmaier
Denis Shapovalov
41%59%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#103
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
CAN
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Altmaier■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Daniel Altmaier | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-6(3) 6-3 1-6 6-7(3) 6-4 |