── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Altmaier
Casper Ruud
18%82%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Casper Ruud
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#103
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
NOR
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniel AltmaierCasper Ruud
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR32Daniel Altmaier6-3 7-5
2019-07-08Braunschweig CHClayR16Casper Ruud6-3 7-5
2016-07-18Belgium F6ClayFDaniel Altmaier6-7(3) 6-1 7-6(3)