── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Altmaier
Felix Auger Aliassime
17%83%
Hard: 12% / 88%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#103
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CAN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniel AltmaierFelix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay12
Hard11
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Felix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-4 4-6 6-1 7-6(7)
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR16Felix Auger Aliassime3-6 6-3 6-2
2025-05-18HamburgClayR32Felix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-3
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Daniel Altmaier7-6(5) 6-3
2024-01-08AucklandHardR16Daniel Altmaier7-6(9) 7-5