── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Altmaier
Jannik Sinner
2%98%
Hard: 2% / 98%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 2% / 98%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#103
model rank
#1
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniel AltmaierJannik Sinner
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard03
Clay10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardR32Jannik Sinner6-0 6-2
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Jannik Sinner6-3 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayR64Daniel Altmaier6-7(0) 7-6(7) 1-6 7-6(4) 7-5
2022-08-29Us OpenHardR128Jannik Sinner5-7 6-2 6-1 3-6 6-1