── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Altmaier
Lorenzo Musetti
22%78%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Altmaier
34th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Return
Daniel Altmaier
32th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#108
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Altmaier■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–2
Clay1–1
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardR64Lorenzo Musetti6-4 6-2
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersHardQ1Lorenzo Musetti6-7(5) 6-4 6-3
2020-08-31Cordenons CHClayQFDaniel Altmaier7-6(4) 6-2
2020-08-24Trieste CHClayR32Lorenzo Musetti6-3 6-2