── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Altmaier a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Altmaier
Holger Rune
54%46%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Altmaier
34th · below avg
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Return
Daniel Altmaier
32th · below avg
Holger Rune
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#109
model rank
#127
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
DEN
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Altmaier■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | R128 | Daniel Altmaier | 1-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Holger Rune | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2021-05-31 | Biella 7 CH | Clay | R32 | Holger Rune | 6-2 6-7(4) 7-6(5) |