── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Altmaier
Gabriel Diallo
47%53%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#103
model rank
#93
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CAN
188cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniel AltmaierGabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass01
Hard10
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Gabriel Diallo6-1 6-2 6-4
2024-11-20Davis Cup Finals QF: GER vs CANHardRRDaniel Altmaier7-6(5) 6-4
2023-04-10Sarasota CHClayQFDaniel Altmaier5-2 RET