── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Altmaier
Ben Shelton
23%77%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Return
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#103
model rank
#18
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
USA
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniel AltmaierBen Shelton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-17HamburgClayR16Daniel Altmaier4-6 7-6(4) 6-4