── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hubert Hurkacz
Stan Wawrinka
64%36%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#60
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
SUI
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Hubert HurkaczStan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05United CupHardFHubert Hurkacz6-3 3-6 6-3
2023-01-02United CupHardRRHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-4