── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hubert Hurkacz
Roberto Bautista Agut
81%19%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
58th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#20
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
ESP
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Clay1–0
Hard2–3
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-09s HertogenboschGrassR32Hubert Hurkacz7-6(2) 6-4
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Hubert Hurkacz7-5 7-6(4)
2023-10-30Paris MastersHardR32Hubert Hurkacz6-3 6-2
2023-02-13RotterdamHardR32Hubert Hurkacz7-5 6-7(7) 7-6(4)
2022-01-03Atp CupHardSFRoberto Bautista Agut7-6(6) 2-6 7-6(5)
2020-10-12Cologne 1HardQFRoberto Bautista Agut7-6(4) 5-7 6-0
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardR64Roberto Bautista Agut7-6(6) 6-3