── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hubert Hurkacz
Marcos Giron
76%24%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 71% / 29%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average
Marcos Giron
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#107
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
USA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Clay1–0
Grass2–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-04Canada MastersHardR128Hubert Hurkacz7-5 4-6 6-2
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR32Hubert Hurkacz6-3 1-6 6-1
2024-09-25TokyoHardR32Hubert Hurkacz6-4 6-7(5) 6-4
2024-06-17HalleGrassQFHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonGrassR64Hubert Hurkacz6-3 6-2 6-4