── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hubert Hurkacz
Zhizhen Zhang
74%26%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#60
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
CHN
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Hubert HurkaczZhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard32
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-10MarseilleHardR16Zhizhen Zhang6-4 6-7(1) 6-3
2024-01-01United CupHardQFHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2023-10-16TokyoHardR32Zhizhen Zhang3-6 6-4 7-6(4)
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR16Hubert Hurkacz7-6(6) 4-6 7-6(4)
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersHardR64Hubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-4