── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hubert Hurkacz a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hubert Hurkacz
Alexander Bublik
55%45%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
58th · average
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#28
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
KAZ
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard5–2
Grass1–0
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-7(2) 7-6(1) 7-5 |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 7-6(2) |
| 2023-02-20 | Marseille | Hard | SF | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(8) 4-6 6-3 |
| 2022-10-03 | Astana | Hard | R16 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-02-21 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-4 6-2 |
| 2020-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-2 7-5 |