── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hubert Hurkacz
Andrey Rublev
31%69%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 57% / 43%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#60
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
RUS
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Hubert HurkaczAndrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard32
Clay10
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-03RotterdamHardQFHubert Hurkacz6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersHardFHubert Hurkacz6-3 3-6 7-6(8)
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersHardR16Andrey Rublev7-6(5) 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiHardSFAndrey Rublev3-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2021-03-22Miami MastersHardSFHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayR32Hubert Hurkacz7-6(6) 3-6 6-2