── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hubert Hurkacz
Tommy Paul
45%55%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average
Tommy Paul
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
USA
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Grass1–0
Clay0–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 6-7(3) 6-3 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 4-6 7-6(5) 7-5 6-2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Tommy Paul | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Tommy Paul | 7-5 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-5 7-6(4) |