── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hubert Hurkacz
Alejandro Tabilo
62%38%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
58th · average
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#20
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
POL
country
CHI
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-05Canada MastersHardR64Hubert Hurkacz6-4 7-6(4)