── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hubert Hurkacz a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hubert Hurkacz
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
50%50%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
58th · average
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#21
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
ESP
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | Hard | F | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 7-6(7) |
| 2024-01-01 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-6(4) 6-4 5-7 2-6 7-6(8) |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 4-6 7-6(5) |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-1 6-7(3) 6-1 |
| 2021-02-22 | Montpellier | Hard | R16 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 1-6 6-2 6-2 |