── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hubert Hurkacz
Sho Shimabukuro
84%16%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#155
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
JPN
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-2 6-4 |