── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hubert Hurkacz
Sebastian Baez
75%25%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
58th · average
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#89
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
ARG
196cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Cancun CH | Hard | F | Hubert Hurkacz | 4-6 6-0 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Hubert Hurkacz | 5-7 7-6(4) 6-4 |