── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hubert Hurkacz
Lorenzo Musetti
27%73%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#60
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
ITA
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–2
Grass2–0
Hard0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(4) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-02-07 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 2-0 RET |