── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hubert Hurkacz
Luciano Darderi
60%40%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average
Luciano Darderi
65th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#43
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
ITA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Hubert Hurkacz7-6(4) 5-7 6-1