── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hubert Hurkacz a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hubert Hurkacz
Arthur Gea
56%44%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Arthur Gea
43th · average
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#33
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
FRA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Arthur Gea
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-2 |