── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hubert Hurkacz
Learner Tien
48%52%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average
Learner Tien
95th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
POL
country
USA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Hubert Hurkacz■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-01BeijingHardR32Hubert Hurkacz5-7 6-3 6-4