── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrea Vavassori 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Vavassori
Roberto Carballes Baena
58%42%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Vavassori
47th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Andrea Vavassori
18th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#120
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Vavassori■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | Q1 | Andrea Vavassori | 7-6(8) 6-4 |
| 2017-07-24 | Cortina CH | Clay | R32 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 6-1 6-1 |