── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrea Vavassori
Felix Auger Aliassime
16%84%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrea Vavassori
51th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Andrea Vavassori
17th · poor
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#121
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrea Vavassori■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-03RotterdamHardR32Andrea Vavassori6-7(3) 6-4 0-0 RET